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Leadership Letters:
In Search of Evidence

By Mora Segal,
A-Street Managing Director


Since our inception three years ago, A-Street’s mission has been to invest in companies that drive coherent, differentially effective, and equitable solutions to transform the future of PK-12 learning. Over the last three years, we have invested in 11 companies that are aligned with this objective and we are proud to partner with the extraordinary teams and the entrepreneurs who lead them. A-Street’s goal is for our portfolio of companies to contribute to measurable improvements in student outcomes at meaningful scale and deliver strong long-term financial returns. Now, more than ever, we believe in the need for a new model for how capital should be put to work across PK-12 investing.  We hope to demonstrate a new way of investing in PK-12 solutions that motivates greater focus on quality and evidence, and better alignment of capital to support transforming the future of PK-12 learning.

At the time of our launch, the realities of the pandemic were just setting in. Grounded in our decades of work in schools and classrooms, we saw that COVID’s disruption of student learning would be profound and lasting. Three years later, the extent of the disruption is clear. 2023 NAEP data shows that reading and math performance of 13-year-olds in the United States has hit the lowest level since 2004 and 1990, respectively.  The data also continues to demonstrate that our most vulnerable children are experiencing even bigger declines. Compounding this problem, the educator workforce is in crisis: the state of the profession is at or near its lowest levels in fifty years. While we know progress will take time, and that silver bullets are not a thing in this line of work, these trends make one thing clear: we must do anything we can do to better equip educators to support their students’ learning and growth.

We are clear-eyed about the fact that as the for-profit education industry has grown, student achievement has not. While more for-profit investment has flowed into US K12 education in recent years, only nine out of the top one hundred most popular EdTech products in the US in 2023 had at least promising research evidence. The “high-quality instructional materials” market category is where many of our portfolio companies operate and is where we think better research evidence of quality implementation at scale can lead to improved student outcomes.  We have been pleased by the market momentum towards high quality curriculum, as validated by EdReports. Increasingly, states are prioritizing ensuring that their students have access to high quality curriculum, and more and more districts are purchasing these materials: the Center for Education Market Dynamics, for example, estimates that 55% of the districts in their dataset, which includes nearly 1,000 of the largest U.S. districts, report having selected a high quality core material in K-5 mathematics. This has all translated into meaningful progress related to teachers’ use of better materials: according to RAND’s American Instructional Resources Survey (AIRS) project, in the 2023-24 school year, 55% of math and 44% of ELA teachers nationwide report that they are using core curricula that are aligned to grade level standards according to EdReports -- up from 29% and 14% respectively, only five years ago.

This positive development has the potential to point towards commensurate progress in student outcomes. And yet, those gains remain elusive. That is because we know that a better core curriculum is not enough – necessary but not sufficient. It must be in service of a coherent instructional system – one that includes content-based professional learning, actionable curriculum-aligned assessments, and coherent supplemental instructional tools to support acceleration. This instructional system must be implemented well across diverse classroom contexts and at scale, equipping teachers to facilitate excellent instruction that leads to clear evidence of meaningful improvement in student learning outcomes.

We are encouraged by efforts across the field that are laying the groundwork to shift the market to increasingly prioritize and value evidence. For starters, the federal Every Student Succeeds Act outlines four levels of promising evidence that solution providers must demonstrate to be eligible for various federal funding programs – and several large districts have started using this framework for purchasing decisions. The Jacobs Foundation has organized EdFIRST, an international group of education-focused principal investors that A-Street is a part of, to elevate the expectation that EdTech investment funds and companies prioritize evidence-building in their solutions. The Southern Education Foundation has advanced efforts for districts and vendors to execute outcomes-based contracts. There is a growing category of organizations, pioneered by Learn Platform, and including Leanlab Education, that offer “evidence services” to help make it much easier for districts and companies to generate evidence. And a new class of organizations, including Ed Research for Action and Evidence for ESSA, offer objective, user-friendly information for schools and districts to understand the evidence base of various solutions to the problems they are trying to solve.

We believe this activity has the potential to increasingly motivate more companies to prioritize evidence, not only because it is the right thing to do, but because it is the commercially smart approach. At a time of tightening school budgets and in a crowded market of solutions, we believe that evidence will increasingly be a lens for buyers as they decide what to adopt, what to keep, and what to let go of. They’ll grow savvier and more capable of discerning the difference between marketing and substance, between research that only proves impact for a small percentage of the most self-motivated students, or research that a solution works really well -- but not so much at greater scale. Instead, they’ll focus on asking for compelling evidence about what can work in their context, for all of their students.

So where does a company start? A foundational element for any company that is serious about building an evidence base is to document its “logic model” - an articulation of how what you do leads to the change you are claiming will happen for your buyer and user, from input to output to outcome to impact. With a logic model in hand, ongoing research efforts grow more focused and organized on testing the hypotheses, gaining new insights, feeding information back to improve the solutions, and ultimately grow the evidence base of what works and can work in various contexts and settings.

A-Street looks for companies to invest in whose leadership demonstrates an understanding of what it takes to improve teaching and student outcomes at scale. We seek to partner with those who examine how their solutions can lead to that change, and who are prepared to interrogate what they need to do differently to increase impact based on evidence from feedback loops and research. We seek partners who, like us, believe that over the long run, winning financially is fueled by helping schools achieve better outcomes for students. That long-term outlook is necessary to make courageous decisions in the face of pressure to grow the top and bottom line and a myriad of competing priorities that any growing company faces.

At A-Street, we are rolling up our sleeves to continually refine our own theory of change, a living document that captures the impact we are seeking to make. We are hard at work on our own logic model with metrics to allow us to interrogate our progress and continually improve. We have also been working with a few portfolio companies on various impact-focused projects, including articulating their logic model, engaging the board on their research evidence priorities, and sharpening their overall impact strategy. We have been grateful to these leaders and their incredible teams for the trust, partnership, and shared learning that has resulted.

Our team is motivated to continue this research evidence journey alongside our portfolio, our co-investors, education entrepreneurs, and our collaborators in the field. We hope our efforts will lead to new collaborators on this journey – please reach out! Finally, we commit to continuing to share what we are learning as we go forward.

Here's to more and better evidence of impact!

Letter from our Co-Founders

One year ago, we launched A-Street with the goal of investing in entrepreneurs and ideas capable of reimagining teaching and learning. We launched at a difficult moment for schools and families, as the full extent of COVID’s impact was not yet in focus but grounded in a spirited determination to find opportunities for breakthrough.
 
The 2022 NAEP scores now provide a stunning measure of this need and of what is at stake for American public education. Twenty years of progress have been erased in math and reading proficiency. Proficiency in math among Black students declined by 13 points, nearly three times the loss experienced by their White peers. Those for whom the stakes are highest and who could least afford to fall further behind did just that.
 
To the close observer, these latest facts are a sobering reminder of a simple truth well known and broadly accepted: too many schools have been ill-equipped to truly serve students well. This is not for lack of will, effort, or talent, but for the dearth of truly effective strategies and tools that work at scale. A-Street is built on the promise of finding solutions to this problem – tools that work harder for the educator, envelop the highest-quality content, radiate high-utility and real-time data, and bridge digital functionality into the classroom in the right ways. Doing so will require care and nuance. Doing so is about more than just helping classroom teachers – it is about restoring confidence in schools and their ability to truly meet students’ needs.
 
As we organize for action and source solutions, we find special resonance in the thinking of Professor Richard Elmore, Harvard’s late and respected professor of education. Professor Elmore teaches us that improving the effectiveness of teaching and learning requires a reconsideration of the essential relationship between student, teacher, and content. It is this relationship that A-Street seeks to fortify as we look for solutions that are coherent. Coherent tools build on the presence of a high-quality core curriculum and leverage technology as an enabler of, not a replacement for, excellent teaching. They are thoughtfully designed, rigorous, and connected holistically such that they create a central user experience for the teacher and the student – one journey that builds from minute to minute, day to day, and unit to unit. 
 
As the new school year launches, as the COVID reality normalizes in classrooms, and as students prepare for life in the information economy, we see an opportunity to address the flaws of an aging system that too often explicitly excludes families and students of color, institutionalizes economic inequity into the education system, and belies America’s essential heterogeneity.  With a portfolio beginning to take shape, this opportunity for renewal will anchor A-Street in the year to come, as several pronounced themes guide our investing:
 

What happens in American classrooms in the coming school years is certain to have long-term implications, not just on learning but on the social mobility we count on schools to enable. In partnership with families, educators, entrepreneurs, and aligned investors, we are here – one year into a journey we know has just begun – to do our part to unlock a generation of opportunity and progress.


Tom & Marc
September 2022

From our Co-Founder Marc Sternberg: Introducing A-Street

For more than thirty years the Walton Family Foundation has invested in ideas and leadership to improve our nation’s education system. For the last eight of those years it has been my privilege and honor to lead these efforts, working side-by-side with courageous educators and entrepreneurs, determined organizers and advocates, and a board as generous as it is patient and focused.

Our collective endeavor has been to center the work on two simple ideals: that every student deserves a great education; and that every individual can accomplish the extraordinary when given the opportunity and resources. Over these years, we’ve made exciting progress and more than our share of mistakes. Such is the work of doing hard things worth doing.

This past year, we’ve been reminded of the importance of our work as never before. Parents, educators and more schools than we can count have responded to the COVID-19 disruption with creativity and moxy. But the pandemic has also laid bare what many of us have long known — that our public education system is barely hanging on, failing far too many of its families and teachers, and in need of transformation.

In a recent survey, 25% of classroom teachers said they plan to step away from the profession. Those who do return have their work cut out for them: reports of learning loss are staggering, compounding concerns about America’s global competitiveness, at a moment when we are reminded yet again of the importance of numeracy and literacy in achieving social and economic mobility. And as dramatically as the world has evolved outside the classroom over the last quarter century, inside the classroom the returning educator and student will find things much as they were when I started teaching in 1995.

So now has to be the moment. For big leaps forward in how students learn, and for what teaching and learning can look like. For lifting up the teaching profession by providing more coherent solutions that reorient teachers to their most sacred task: the human-centered work of facilitating community building and knowledge acquisition. Now has to be the moment to advance digital-forward tools that lean into the surging digital access, leveraging breakthroughs that can transform at long last the Industrial Age classroom and into the modern laboratory of learning. Most critically, now has to be the moment to advance equity.

To help catalyze and energize that moment, I am stepping down from my current role as K-12 Program Director at the Walton Family Foundation to launch A-Street, a $200+ million privately sponsored investment fund with a strategic focus on seeding and scaling innovative K- 12 student learning and achievement solutions for students, families, and schools. I am doing so because I believe this moment represents a historic inflection — one long in the making– for transformation. I will transition to support the foundation as a senior advisor on an ongoing basis.

Despite the significant progress made in the last two decades, daunting challenges remain in addressing educational disparities between rich and poor students and communities. Studies in recent years have documented the sharp decline in intergenerational mobility, with Black Americans being the least likely to match or exceed their parents’ economic prosperity. As the future of work shifts toward artificial intelligence, automation, and outsourcing to foreign countries, the financial security of, and accessibility to, America’s middle class has never been more in doubt. In this new world, opportunity and stability will belong to young people who can adapt, think critically, continue learning new skills, thrive in collaborative environments, and lead teams. We need breakthrough innovations in teaching, learning, and measurement to ensure that education can be a true engine of mobility for all students, especially those living in poverty.

To fuel that innovation, A-Street intends to invest in a mix of early-, growth- and late-stage ventures, with a current focus on digital-first instructional materials in curriculum and new paradigms for student assessment. Although A-Street plans to focus primarily on companies operating within the U.S. K-12 market, the Fund may also invest outside of the K-12 spectrum when potential breakthrough applications could benefit the primary and secondary school continuum.

Though we will operate with all the rigor and ambition of a traditional closed end investment fund with aspirations for market rate returns, it is intended for A-Street’s profits to revolve to A- Street or support charitable causes. And while the fund has been generously seeded by interested members of the Walton family, it will be held and operated independently of the Walton Family Foundation.

The road ahead for A-Street won’t always be straight and clear. But now has to be the moment for boldness, for focus, and for breakthrough.

To the entrepreneurs and the idea-makers: we look forward to supporting your vision. Now is the moment for your big thinking, new approaches, and finding common ground that advances progress.

To our fellow investors: we are eager to learn from you and work with you to solve hard problems that are bigger than any one of us.

To our critics: resistance alone will not fashion the more equitable schools we need. We welcome your scrutiny and invite you to bring your ideas for solutions to the problems we all see.

As A-Street navigates forward, we’ll stay centered on what’s at stake: a quality education for every student in America as a promise we must keep in order to unlock our collective promise.


Marc
June 2021